FSUU Policy Center bares 1st poll survey result
Butuan City (24 March) -- With the presidential elections three months away, Senators Benigno Aquino and Mar Roxas lead in the presidential and vice presidential bid as expressed by the Butuan City voters. However, there is no significant single candidate preference for the local elective positions.
The respondents preferred a candidate unstained by corruption and with a clean public service record. They also cited their need for a candidate who has a preference for the poor.
In the non-commissioned February 2010 survey conducted by the Father Saturnino Urios University Policy Center (FSUUPC) covering 27 urban and 59 rural barangays of the city involving 396 voter-respondents using face to face interviews, Aquino is preferred by 31.3% of the respondents.
The 10.8% lead of Senator Aquino over Villar and 18.9% over Teodoro are significant at .05 level of signifance. This lead is seen from votes coming from voters across all ages and income brackets.
Senator Roxas leads in the Vice presidential seat with 47% followed by Senator Legarda (11.1%) and Mayor Binay with 9.1% Senator Roxas bested Senator Legarda by a margin of 35.9%. Voter preference for Roxas is essentially the same across income bracket and age groups.
Congressman Aquino showed a big margin of lead over Jimenez with 57.1% of the voter respondents preferring him over Jimenez with only 7.6%.
There is no statistical difference in the voting preference of the respondents, at the time of the survey, for the mayoralty and vice mayoralty positions. For evry 10 respondents, about 3 of them reported to vote for Amante, 3 of them are still undecided. While Sanchez leads in the Vice Mayor Position with 34.6%, this lead over Fortun, with 27.8%, is not statistically significant.
The respondents do not still have the complete set of ten candidates for the city councilor seats. As of the time of the survey, the local campaign period had not yet started which can account for the respondent's low knowledge of who to vote for the city councilors' seats. However, the re-electionists dominate the top ten ranks with the following percentages for each: Plaza-8.3%, Amoc-8.1%, Marticion-7.6%, Calo A-6.6%, Dano-5.8%, Culima-5.1%, Carampatana-4.5%, Brnabe-2.3%, Bunol-1.8%, and Cembrano-1.3%. These candidates are ethier incumbent, and/or former councilors.
Apprehensions for the coming election abound primarily on cheating in the election results, on the process of the automated voting system, effects of power outrages, vote buying, and possible election-related violence. (FSUU-PC/PIA-Caraga) [top]